Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.162209 3.652909 4.196448 4.843514 5.593370 6.435649 7.454478
2024-10-20 2.465623 3.094354 3.851487 4.831802 6.069834 7.584532 9.583426
2024-10-27 1.885286 2.541327 3.390480 4.573093 6.182769 8.304973 11.328345
2024-11-03 1.619276 2.327825 3.306620 4.762824 6.884475 9.878862 14.454506
2024-11-10 1.435393 2.187317 3.289191 5.030091 7.729187 11.783833 18.392266
2024-11-17 1.252967 2.012817 3.187543 5.147938 8.364724 13.481041 22.328657
2024-11-24 1.085120 1.829170 3.037112 5.156596 8.820449 14.962492 26.181509
2024-12-01 0.915287 1.612109 2.795000 4.968006 8.908299 15.841032 29.160203
2024-12-08 0.773862 1.419333 2.561147 4.749764 8.898371 16.533366 31.909183
2024-12-15 0.698345 1.331398 2.496312 4.822189 9.423150 18.265709 36.902852
2024-12-22 0.610947 1.207224 2.345266 4.705129 9.562142 19.281235 40.655329
2024-12-29 0.580369 1.187922 2.389945 4.977377 10.515782 22.050565 48.511934
2025-01-05 0.535988 1.137033 2.370451 5.128474 11.273128 24.604678 56.541073
2025-01-12 0.485947 1.066726 2.300970 5.163439 11.790775 26.746672 64.102605
2025-01-19 0.419513 0.950652 2.116768 4.914950 11.630566 27.354626 68.200122
2025-01-26 0.396868 0.929012 2.136858 5.138043 12.611350 30.784660 79.938022
2025-02-02 0.381139 0.920855 2.186278 5.439517 13.838073 35.033644 94.682395
2025-02-09 0.356252 0.886815 2.169515 5.575346 14.673993 38.460758 107.980874
2025-02-16 0.327205 0.837930 2.109167 5.589879 15.197024 41.173501 119.890582
2025-02-23 0.290595 0.764119 1.975264 5.388138 15.100466 42.204440 127.180371
2025-03-02 0.256998 0.693035 1.837630 5.152827 14.867365 42.811333 133.330998
2025-03-09 0.240846 0.666492 1.813980 5.232769 15.557258 46.197801 148.859919
2025-03-16 0.218037 0.618103 1.723793 5.106213 15.613100 47.721460 158.767635